Reliability updating in linear opinion pooling for multiple decision makers

Reliability Updating in Linear Opinion Pooling for Multiple Decision Makers

Accurate information sources are vital prerequisites for good decision making. In this thesis we consider a multiple participant setting, where all decision makers (DMs) have a collection of neighbours with whom they share their beliefs about some common relevant uncertain quantity. When determining which course of action to follow a DM takes into account all the information received from her n...

A hybrid decision making system using DEA and fuzzy models for supplier selection in the presence of multiple decision makers

Exploiting Structure in Coordinating Multiple Decision Makers

EXPLOITING STRUCTURE IN COORDINATING MULTIPLE DECISION MAKERS

Probabilistic opinion pooling generalized Part two: Premise-based opinion pooling

We consider the classical problem of aggregating di¤erent individuals’probability assignments (opinions) over a -algebra of events. In practice, some events represent basic propositions, such as ‘it rains’or ‘CO2 emissions cause global warming’, while others represent combinations thereof, for instance disjunctions (unions) of basic events. It is plausible to treat the basic events as premises ...

Generalized Opinion Pooling

In this paper we analyze the problem of opinion pooling. We introduce a divergence minimization framework to solve the problem of standard opinion pooling. Our results show that various existing pooling mechanisms like LinOp and LogOp are an special case of this framework. This framework is then extended to address the problem of generalized opinion pooling. We show that this framework does sat...